Tuesday, May 4, 2010

CC, Winn Lead Yanks Past O's

(AP Photo/Kathy Willens)

Final123456789RHEBaltimore010000000161N.Y. Yankees «00040000x460WP: C. Sabathia (4-1) LP: J. Guthrie (0-4)
SV: J. Chamberlain (1)
CC Sabathia was dominating over 8 innings tonight against the O's. He allowed just one run on six hits, walked two and struck out two on his way to his fourth win of the year. CC didn't have his best stuff, but it was clearly good enough to handle the O's lineup. The big fella was a ground ball machine tonight, retired 16 batters via the groundout, including two double plays. The lone Oriole run came on a Matt Wieters solo homer in the second, after that CC cruised and only allowed one base runner to reach third, and none after the fourth. This was also his fourth start of the season where he lasted at least 7 innings.

Jeremy Guthrie also pitched well for the O's. He lasted 7 innings and only really got hit hard in one, a four-run Yankees half of the fourth.

Alex Rodriguez started the inning with a single. Two batters later Jorge Posada moved A-Rod to second with a ground out, and then Nick Swisher drove him in with a long single off the right field wall. Brett Gardner continued the rally with a single and then Randy Winn stepped up and launched a Guthrie fastball deep into the Yankees bullpen for a three-run homer to give the Yankees a 4-1 lead. It was his first homer and RBIs of the season, and his first long ball in 491 at-bats. If you're wondering Sterling's call went something like this: A three run homer for Randy! He helps the Yankees Winn!

Neither team would score again and Joba Chamberlain came on and threw a scoreless ninth to pick up his first save of the season. Joba's velocity was very good tonight. His fastball was averaging 94.73 MPH and topped out at 95.5. As the weather gets hotter, Joba's fastball is getting faster, which is very good to see.

If you're wondering where Mariano Rivera was tonight, he experiences some stiffness in his side. After the game he said he played catch today and felt good but didn’t want to push it yet. Tomorrow he will throw and see if he can go in game two. Mo didn't seem worried and said if this was the postseason he would have been able to go.

In other injury news, Jorge Posada left tonight's game after the fifth with tightness in his right calf. He went for an MRI tonight and we'll learn more tomorrow.

The Yanks look to make it two in a row over the O's tomorrow night with A.J. Burnett on the mound. He will be squaring off against O's lefty Brain Matusz. First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. and the game will be on YES

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Posada Has Mild Calf Sprain

According to LoHud's Brian Heyman, Posada has a mild right calf strain and is listed as day-to-day. Obviously this is good news for the Yanks.

Posted byGreg Cohen

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Fun with BABIP Regression

As I'm sure most of our dutiful readers already know, small sample sizes are often quite perilous, and cannot be trusted. There are countless reasons for this, and I don't think anyone really has the time or energy to dredge their way through a somewhat exhaustive list - and I'm sure that I don't really want to write it. That being said, BABIP is the quickest, dirtiest explanation for the issues with small sample sizes. With that in mind, I thought that I would look at a few Yankees who are bound to see a drastic change in their performance as their respective BABIPs regress to the mean. To do that, I'll compare their BABIPs to their expected BABIPs (xBABIP).

The Risers

Mark Teixeira
BABIP - .221xBABIP - .322Regressing Teixeira's BABIP to the mean would add a staggering .078 points onto his batting average, raising it from .189 to .267. While that may not be on-par with the Teixeira that we know and love, it's much more palatable, at the very least. It's also worth noting that his HR/FB is about eleven percent lower than his career norm, meaning that a real coming out party should be right around the corner.

Curtis Granderson
BABIP - .262xBABIP - .353I'm hoping that this will at least temporarily stymie the hindsight patrol in regards to the dealing of Austin Jackson (whose BABIP is around .150 higher than expected). Regressing Granderson's BABIP to the mean results in his average jumping from .221 to .282. Assuming all singles, Granderson's triple-slash line would be .282/.352/.436. While that's still a bit below what we'd all like to see, it lends an iota of hope, at the very least.

David Robertson
BABIP - .556xBABIP - .227Robertson is my dark horse for the dreaded 'Heir to Mo' discussion… and he's seemingly becoming darker and darker by the day. This, however, makes me feel a bit better. Robertson's batting average against stands at .408 - regression drops it all the way down to .190. Factor in his improved control and still dominant strikeout numbers and there's still a whole lot to like here.

The Fallers

Phil Hughes
BABIP - .162xBABIP - .247Luckily, Hughes' xBABIP is still very low - he simply hasn't been hit too hard too often this year. His batting average against would rise to a still stellar .157 (it's .124 now) with regression, which leaves me feeling pretty confident. The more pressing concern, in my mind, is his HR/FB (sitting at 3.3%, league average tends to be 10%) and his LOB% (87%, tends to be closer to 72%).

Marcus Thames
BABIP - .556xBABIP - .262This is the small sample size to end all small sample sizes… but I really don't like Thames, and I'm really worried about him lumbering around left field for the next couple of weeks. A bit of regression with Thames drops his average from .458 to .167. Here's hoping his luck continues.

Robinson Cano
BABIP - .365xBABIP - .338Breathe deep Yankee fans - it's going to be alright. Cano's swing data doesn't show him as making a flukish amount of contact or anything of the sort, so this career year does appear to be for real. His HR/FB is unsustainable, but he's hitting a ton of line drives, which means the hits should keep coming. Regression would drop his average to .355… I'll take it.

I must note that this is far from an exact science - nothing ever goes exactly by the numbers in baseball. Zack Greinke maintained a 4.5% HR/FB in 2009. Joey Votto sustained a .372 BABIP (fifty points higher than his xBABIP). The likelihood of these things happening isn't terribly high, but, with the exception of Thames, nothing here is really an impossibility.

Posted byDomenic L.

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Looking Back At A Trade That Was Never Made

Most Yankees fans are thrilled with what we've seen from Phil Hughes since his rocky 2008 season. I know I am. Last year, he basically saved the Yankees pen when he was turned into the team's main setup man, and this year he's showing signs of being the type of starter the Yankees envisioned him to be. With that said, I will turn to a question Brandon Tierney asked yesterday via Twitter:
Leaving finances out of the equation, over the next 3 seasons, who would you rather have: Santana or Hughes?I'll add this as part two of that question: Are you happy the Yankees never made that deal, or do you still believe it was a move they should have made? Before you answer, let's look at some numbers.

In 25 starts last year, Johan Santana was 13-9 with a 3.13 ERA and a WHIP of 1.21. This year, he's 3-2, with an ERA of 4.50 and a 1.29 WHIP. Hughes went 8-3 last year with an ERA of 3.03 and a 1.12 WHIP, and this year as a starter, he's 3-0, with a 1.44 ERA and a WHIP of 0.88.

That's just the basics, plus, I don't think either will finish with ERAs in the ballpark of what they are now. I actually think both with end up somewhere in the mid-3.00's. But let's dig a little deeper and look at some more stats over the past three

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Yanks Call Up Golson

According to Donnie Collins, the Yankees are expected to call up Triple-A outfielder Greg Golson to replace the injured Curtis Granderson. Mark Melancon will be headed back to the minors. Collins says that Golson is in New York.

The 24-year-old speedster is hitting 253/.289/.430 with Scranton, and is also a very good defensive outfielder.

Posted byGreg Cohen

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The old Yankee Stadium comes down: newyorker.com

The old Yankee Stadium comes down: newyorker.com



The Pull
by Nick Paumgarten
March 22, 2010 Text Size:
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Yankee Stadium;Demolition;Bronx, New York;Macombs Dam Park;Parks Department;Geoffrey Croft;New York City Park AdvocatesExcept maybe for courtside at Madison Square Garden, the best place these days to watch a New York institution fall to pieces is the 161st Street subway station, in the Bronx. From the No. 4 train’s southbound platform, you can observe the ongoing demolition of the old Yankee Stadium, which will vanish completely by June. If you’re riding up from Manhattan on the No. 4, your first glimpse is no longer of that sliver of lush and lit-up turf but, rather, of an expanse of ruin—a half-blasted hulk.

Last week, the demolition crews went after the upper decks. They cut them into sections and pulled one down each day. They started along the old third-base line, tearing open chunks of sky. Each afternoon, a small pack of spectators gathered along the subway platform, pressing up against a fence, to watch “the pull.”

On Wednesday morning, the New York City Economic Development Corporation, which is overseeing the demolition, and the Parks Department, which owns the land and is replacing the old structure with playing fields, invited the press into the Stadium for a last look. The media, in hard hats and fluorescent vests, gathered where the bleachers used to be, in center-right, rubble—rebar, hunks of concrete painted blue—at their feet. The field was a span of dirt. A pair of water cannons sprayed it, to tamp it down, in anticipation of the impending collapse of a segment of upper deck. A half-dozen excavators worked the debris, like grazing dinosaurs.

A few Parks officials led a tour out to their new parks. The new Stadium, visible in the distance, had gone up where Macombs Dam Park had been. The city is compensating the neighborhood for the loss of that old refuge, which was well shaded and heavily used, with a patchwork of new parkland, some of it more than a mile away and some of it on top of a parking garage. This lopsided swap, executed by the Bloomberg administration on behalf of one of North America’s richest professional sports teams, at the expense of one of the city’s poorest neighborhoods, has incurred the wrath of civic and parks activists, among them Geoffrey Croft, the president of New York City Park Advocates. Croft had come along on the media tour, mainly to mutter in the ears of reporters that much of what the officials were telling them was bunk. “I’m here to unspin their spin,” he said.

After the tour, Croft, who is forty-four, and who grew up a few blocks from the Stadium, joined the civilians along the subway-platform fence to photograph the pull. “I used to sneak up here to watch games, before they renovated the Stadium and blocked the view,” he said. A man walked up and showed off a photo he’d taken of the outfield in 1970. His name was Dennis Concepcion. He was fifty-three, Bronx-born. “It’s a sad day,” he said. He told stories about his father’s seats—Box 1-D, right behind home plate, three-fifty a seat—and about his own tenure, from 1971 to 1983, as a Stadium vender. Bug juice, hot chocolate, hot dogs, beer. He passed around a picture of one of his mid-seventies vending uniforms. “Psychedelic,” he said.


from the issuecartoon banke-mail this.Another fan strolled up: Scott, a banker in a pin-striped suit. “I’ve been dreading coming here to see this,” he said. He estimated that he’d been to five hundred Yankee games. His father had been an executive with the Yankees’ old concessionaire, and had season tickets next to the home dugout. “I used to talk to Reggie in the on-deck circle,” Scott said. “I have seats from 1974 in my house. We yanked them right out. They’re mounted in my den.” He went to one game in the new Stadium last season and didn’t go back. “It’s not a ballpark,” Concepcion said. “It’s a mallpark.”

Out in shallow center field, three excavators lined up to commence the pull. Each had hold of a long steel cable that arced into the upper deck. Earlier, a crew had used hydraulic shears and welding torches to weaken the steel girders supporting the doomed section, and then installed temporary wedges to keep it from collapsing on them. Now the excavators reared back until the cables were taut, and the wedges came tumbling out of the stands. The excavators were then hooked up to another set of cables—these attached to the weakened girders—and, after some delay, began backing up again. The cables went tight.

“Oh, Jesus,” Concepcion said. “Here it comes.”

The section, nine tons of steel and concrete, suddenly tilted forward and sank through the air, a giant concrete berg calving from the Yankee glacier. It thundered on impact, and the subway platform quaked. The field, excavators and all, disappeared in a cloud of dust. After a couple of minutes, the dust gave way to the sight of a dead upper deck on the ground; a rack of girders poked out of the concrete like the ribs of an animal carcass. The spectators exchanged contact information so that they could send each other their pull photos. A No. 4 train rolled up, and the crowd dispersed. ♦



Read more: http://www.newyorker.com/talk/2010/03/22/100322ta_talk_paumgarten#ixzz0mzTccAJ5

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Good pitching and a lot of hitting sent the Yankees to a 12-3 win against the White Sox on Sunday. “When you see Brett Gardner hit a home run, you know things are going well,” Mark Teixeira said. Phil Hughes pitched seven scoreless innings as the Yankees won yet another series. Brian Heyman has the story.

The Yankees got the win without Curtis Granderson, who is expected to miss a month with a strained left groin. The notebook also has items on Alex Rodriguez and the possibility of skipping Javier Vazquez’s next start.

Don’t forget you can check out pictures in our online gallery.

Tags: Alex Rodriguez, Brett Gardner, Curtis Granderson, Javier Vazquez, Phil Hughes

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